The UK Climate Resilience Programme ran from 2019 to 2023

EDF – Embedded Researcher pitch

Interest in climate resilience

EDF is one of the UK’s largest energy companies and its largest producer of low-carbon electricity (we generate around one fifth of the UK’s electricity). Our research and development activities are an integral part of the company, creating value and supporting future growth. In the UK, R&D has a strong focus on including potential lifetime extension and the transition to waste and decommissioning and supporting new nuclear build development.

The EDF R&D UK Centre supports EDF Group with research focused in several key areas, one of which is the environment and natural hazards. The group undertakes research on a wide range of natural hazards, including (but not restricted to): extreme air temperature, precipitation and wind, coastal flooding, hazard combinations and climate change. This knowledge is channelled into ensuring safety and resilience of our assets.

Climate change is especially important for our current and new infrastructure projects across the UK. In relation to our natural hazards’ characterisation activities, the frequency and intensity of natural hazard events (and their variability) are likely to alter under climate change. This needs to be accounted for in any design of our assets through improved resilience measures and adaptation planning.

Motivation for being involved in the scheme

EDF believes that this call provides a great opportunity to bridge the gap that can exist between the production of relevant knowledge and information for building climate resilience and its use in organisations and business strategy, decision-making and interpretation of climate risks.

Via this scheme, we are keen to develop high-quality multi- and interdisciplinary innovative methods, transfer knowledge with the embedded researcher and the partnering academic institute, and to explore how to further exploit climate information needed for decision-making in our safety, planning and licensing assessments. This scheme will allow us to host a top-quality research scientist, to work with us in assessing climate change resilience and to ensure fit for purpose and user-friendly research outputs.

Ideas for research topics or knowledge brokering activities

Project (1): “Extreme ambient temperature risks and HVAC design due to enthalpy”.

Frequency and intensity of extreme natural hazard events are likely to alter under climate change. This needs to be accounted for in any design through improved resilience measures and adaptation planning. EDF has been utilising data provided by UKCP18 to test future robustness to climate change. This includes extreme high temperatures, heat waves and enthalpy as key hazards that could have impacts the design and sizing of safety critical heating, ventilation and air conditioning system (HVAC) of nuclear power plants.

Observations of dry-bulb, wet-bulb and air pressure can characterise extreme enthalpy at local scale for the present climate, but a methodology for future climate change impact assessment on enthalpy is yet to be defined. Currently, it is unclear how enthalpy in the UK will vary in the next 100 years, making it difficult to assess how the HVAC systems of a nuclear power plant will be affected. From a non-nuclear perspective, insights into future enthalpy values experienced in the UK are vital in knowing what effect that could have on UK energy infrastructure, markets and on the human health of the population.

The main output of this work would be to establish a methodology, to provide estimates of enthalpy for the present and future climate via the use of UKCP18 (or other) climate change projections. From a safety analysis aspect, it would be useful to include the capability to project trends in the 10,000- year (and more frequent) return level and how these may impact specific sites or groups of sites. From an operational aspect, useful metrics will revolve around the duration of high enthalpy events and whether these may become longer under climate change. Via such an assessment, we will build and adopt best practice in measuring, managing and quantifying the impact of enthalpy on performance of our current fleet.

Project (2): “The impact of extreme rainfall and its future projections on our current fleet”.

Frequency and intensity of extreme natural hazard events are likely to alter under climate change. This needs to be accounted for in any design through improved resilience measures and adaptation planning. EDF has been utilising data provided by UKCP18 to test future robustness to climate change.

Extreme rainfall events are a concern for nuclear power plant operation and safety as they have potential to cause damage to the plants infrastructure and pose a safety risk (e.g. inundation). Therefore, it is necessary to provide accurate estimates of the risks associated with extreme precipitation on all timescales. UKCP18 projected trends in average precipitation show increases in winter rainfall and decreases in summer rainfall but hourly precipitation extremes are projected to increase in all seasons in future. Localised projections (e.g. UKCP18 CPM 2.2 km) are the primary source of information for daily rainfall extremes in summer or changes on hourly timescales as there is improved representation of the diurnal cycle of convection, the spatial structure of rainfall and its duration-intensity characteristics, and the intensity of hourly precipitation extremes. But there are still deficiencies in depicting smaller scale mechanisms e.g. summer convective events – localised intense thunderstorms and the localised datasets are not temporally continuous. Applying methodologies such as extreme value analysis on non-continuous datasets is not advised, and thus the UKCP18 CPM dataset cannot be used to analyse extreme events and estimate return levels.

This work should estimate changes in: rainfall characteristics (e.g. intensity, occurrence) for the present climate as well as in the future via the use of UKCP18 (or other) climate change projections, 10,000-year return levels (and more frequent) and how these will change per sites of interest. Via this work we will build and adopt best practice in measuring, managing and quantifying the impact of rainfall on current fleet performance.

Get in touch with EDF

Researchers who would like to discuss this Embedded Researcher pitch with EDF should contact Dafni Sifnioti on dafni.sifnioti@edfenergy.com

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