The UK Climate Resilience Programme ran from 2019 to 2023

NPOP Workshop on Seasonal to Centennial Marine Prediction

The Marine Predictions of Seasonal to Centennial Timescales working group of the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (NPOP) held a two day in-person workshop at the University of Reading on the 6th-7th June, with UKCR-funded work contributing to the scoping and organisation of the meeting. NPOP is a partnership of six UK institutions delivering ocean prediction services and research, with a focus on national and public benefit.

The workshop brought together a strong but widely dispersed UK science community working in this area, with representatives of the UK marine policy community, and enabled a discussion of how the science community might work together to develop marine predictions and projections that will be useful for policy and decision making. The main aims of the workshop were:

  1. Understand the current state of science for marine projections, including key knowledge gaps identified in IPCC AR6 WGI and II
  2. Bring together the relevant strands of marine research in the UK to promote future scientific collaboration, identify research priorities and explore new opportunities
  3. Discuss research priorities for any possible future updates to UK Climate Projections, and identify ways in which the wider UK academic community could contribute
  4. How can we continue to work productively together going forward to deliver the maximum value to society? How can the NPOP Activity Group help?

A short workshop report, and links to the invited presentations, will be posted on the NPOP website soon, and two specific post-actions will be followed up:

  1. A small cross-institutional working group will be formed to develop a roadmap for UK marine climate change projections, to provide evidence to inform rounds 4 and 5 of the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA). The wider community will be consulted in this development.
  2. Ideas will be explored for ongoing activities of the group to build and maintain an active scientific community in this area