The UK Climate Resilience Programme ran from 2019 to 2023

Enhanced future FLows and Groundwater (eFLaG): enhancing the resilience of the water sector to drought events (webinar)

UK Climate Resilience Programme Webinar Series 2021

Date: 17 November, 12.00pm (GMT)

Speaker: Jamie Hannaford (UK Centre for Hydrology and Ecology) with a stakeholder response from Stuart Allen (Environment Agency)

Chair: Mark Harrison

See links to a video of the webinar and slides below


This webinar introduces the ‘enhanced Future Flows and Groundwater’ (eFLaG) dataset of nationally consistent hydrological (river flow and groundwater) projections for the UK, based on the latest UK Climate Projections (UKCP18). The hydrological projections are derived from an ensemble of river flow models (Grid-to-Grid, PDM, GR4J and GR6J) and groundwater models (Aquimod and ZOODRM) to provide an indication of hydrological model uncertainty. eFLaG is designed to provide a demonstration climate service to enhance the resilience of the water sector to drought events. In this regard, the webinar will report on eFLaG projections of changing hydrological drought severity through the 21st century, and will describe two contrasting case studies (Thames and Wales) where the team collaborated with the water industry to demonstrate the utility of eFLaG for water resources management applications.

Presenter biography

Jamie Hannaford leads the Hydrological Status and Outlooks Group at the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology and is a visiting Associate Professor at the Irish Climate And Research Units (ICARUS) at Maynooth University in Ireland.  His specialisation is in the analysis of hydrological extremes (floods and droughts) and he has led a number of major UK and international drought research projects.

Stakeholder biography

Stuart Allen is a Principal Scientist in the Environment Agency Chief Scientists Group and leads on water issues for the Climate Change and Resource Efficiency team. Stuart has been with the Environment Agency for over 20 years, 17 of those in Research, and has been involved in many key developments including the original Future Flows and Groundwater Levels project.

View the video and presentation slides for the webinar: